Note : Clicking a team link in this blog will show you how everyone voted for that team. Clicking a voter name link will show you their ballot.
If the computers had their way (and someday in the post-apocalyptic future, they will), it would be Auburn and TCU playing for the national championship. Meanwhile the humans (in their secret, underground coliseum) would have Oregon and Auburn playing each other. TCU certainly has the easiest path and will likely win out. Oregon is the next most-likely, and Auburn still has the toughest road to the BCS championship. So unless the BCS top two (Oregon and Auburn) fall, there is no salvation for TCU or even Boise State (the only other unbeatens). Barring a Terminator-led Judgment Day , there is nothing any computer can do to change things.
If one of the top two falls, LSU is the only one-loss team that has enough computer clout to potentially pass the unbeatens. However, it’s unlikely to happen unless one of the human polls jump the Tigers to No. 2. Interestingly, Stanford , Nebraska and Oklahoma State all have the same computer average in the BCS (No. 6). However, there would have to be major upheaval for any of the three to have a shot at the title game. Since the top of the BCS is so solid, let’s look at the less stable parts…
The ACC imploded once again over the weekend. With Florida State and NC State losing, the ACC is down to one ranked team, Virginia Tech . Unfortunately, the Hokies have been generally loathed by the computers ever since they lost to an FCS team, James Madison.
Speaking of FCS teams, Delaware received a vote from Ray Ratto in the AP. Typically “1AA” teams don’t get a vote with one loss, and typically they must at least beat one FBS team to get serious consideration, but Ratto still puts the 8–1 Blue Hens at No. 25 in his pecking order. At least Delaware did manage to beat James Madison.
The ACC has one team in the top 25, but the Big East is still sitting at zero. As the Big East expands, they should seriously consider the importance of keeping their automatic BCS qualification when selecting new members. If the ACC didn’t snatch Virginia Tech when they expanded, they could be in the same boat considering the last few seasons they’ve had (excluding Virginia Tech).
In the AP, Rob Long is this week’s most extreme voter. He takes his extreme voting seriously -- not so much in quantity as in quality. He only had seven extreme votes, which is relatively low compared to some weeks, but every one of them is red… no yellows. When he goes extreme, he goes all the way. Teams like Ohio State , Nebraska , Iowa , Missouri and Pittsburgh probably appreciate that while LSU and Oklahoma State … not so much.
Oklahoma and Missouri share the largest AP voting range for the week -- voted everywhere from No. 12 to unranked. Actually, both teams are also similar in that they only had one voter not rank them. They can add those to the biggest thing they have in common: losing to a serious underdog last week for their second loss of the season. Missouri does have one advantage, which brings us to…
Head to Head Lines
These 22 voters have Oklahoma over Missouri even though they both have the same number of losses and the Tigers beat the Sooners just two weeks ago. Each team lost last week to a middle-tier, Texas-based team ( Texas A&M and Texas Tech respectively). Missouri’s other loss was to a very good, one-loss Nebraska, and Oklahoma’s other loss was to… Missouri. You can argue that A&M is better than Tech (especially with the results of their game), but the head-to-head win for Missouri over Oklahoma has got to count more than the transitive speculation. Besides, most of the computers rank Missouri better, and they aren’t taking the head-to-head result into account. Voters need to fix this before the robots attack. If you don’t believe me, I offer one solid bit of proof:
Oh, and for those that didn’t notice, the preseason basketball rankings came out over the last couple of weeks. You can check them all out here:
- NCAA Men's Preseason AP Ballots: http://tinyurl.com/23ulrf3
- NCAA Men's All Preseason Polls: http://tinyurl.com/34lje4k
- NCAA Women's All Preseason Polls: http://tinyurl.com/35ekbu2
- NCAA Women's Preseason AP Ballots: http://tinyurl.com/29ds6rg